Fitch: The progress of inflation decline seems to have ended. Brian Coulton, chief economist of Fitch, said that the decline of core commodity prices (the main force of inflation decline this year) seems to have ended. With the increase of automobile prices, the core commodity prices rose by 0.3% month-on-month. Service inflation is declining, but the rate of decline is very slow, because rent inflation is stubborn, and the service inflation is 4.6%, which is still far higher than the pre-epidemic level.Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau: The Bank of Canada's interest rate cut of 50 basis points is a correct step towards reducing the cost of living for Canadians.On December 11th, 2024, China International Cargo Airlines Co., Ltd. (referred to as Air China) disclosed its prospectus, and planned to issue new shares and go public in Shenzhen in the near future.
Vanguard went against tradition and suggested the strategy of "six shares of debt and four shares" to deal with policy risks. In view of the high interest rate and stock valuation, Vanguard Group suggested that investors establish defensive positions in the new year and increase their investment in bonds instead of stocks. The company's 2025 outlook lists the asset allocation model built by economists and portfolio teams, which allocates 62% of the funds to fixed-income securities and the remaining 38% to stocks. In contrast, the ratio of stocks to bonds in the traditional portfolio is 60% to 40%. Although the US economy is still strong, the stock market valuation is close to historical highs, which makes stocks more vulnerable to potential policy risks after Trump takes office. At the same time, interest rates may remain higher than those in the 2010 s, thus providing investors with stable income and more protection in the case of risk aversion.Bank of Canada: Other federal and provincial policies will affect the dynamics of demand and inflation; The central bank will pay attention to potential trends. The decline in the level of immigration shows that the GDP growth in 2025 will be lower than the forecast of the central bank in October; Its impact on inflation will be more moderate.Saudi Arabia won the right to host the 2034 World Cup, and the FIFA Council confirmed that the 2034 World Cup will be hosted by Saudi Arabia, which is the third time that Asia has hosted the World Cup. At the same time, Saudi Arabia is also the only bidding country for the 2034 World Cup. The Saudi Football Association announced its bid to host the 2034 World Cup on October 9, 2023. By the deadline of November 1, 2023, there was still only one bidding country in Saudi Arabia. This is the first time in nearly 60 years that FIFA has determined the right to host the World Cup without competitors. Saudi Arabia is also the fourth Asian country to host the World Cup after South Korea and Japan in 2002 and Qatar in 2022. This is the second time that the World Cup has entered West Asia.
CEO of Bank of America: The prospect is "stable and positive".If the Bank of Canada cuts interest rates by 50bp as expected, it is expected that the pace of interest rate cuts will slow down. The Bank of Canada cut interest rates sharply for the second time in a row this month, and hinted that policymakers are prepared to slow down the pace of monetary easing. The bank cut interest rates by 50 basis points to 3.25%, bringing borrowing costs to the upper part of their expected range of neutral interest rates. However, they also hinted that after the sharp interest rate cut expected by the market and most economists, there may be a smaller interest rate cut again in 2025. Officials dropped their previous statement that they expected to further reduce borrowing costs. "With the policy interest rate greatly reduced, we expect that if the economic development is generally in line with expectations, monetary policy will adopt a more gradual approach," Bank of Canada Governor Mackler said in a prepared speech. "Looking ahead, we will evaluate the necessity of further reducing the policy interest rate one by one."Futures closed at night, domestic main futures contracts rose more and fell less, futures closed at night, domestic main futures contracts rose more and fell less, coke rose 0.77%, coking coal rose 0.43%, iron ore rose 0.25%, rebar rose 0.18% and coil fell 0.03%.
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13